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Thursday, July 22, 2021

Tokyo Olympic Games Picks

The Tokyo Olympics are a go, so *someone* will succeed Monica Puig as the reigning Gold medalist. Could it be...?






Early talk this week was that the Tokyo hard courts were extremely slow, which could play into the hands of some of the players who might be thought of more as clay courters. Additionally, some tough early match-ups -- 1r Barty/Sorribes Tormo, 1r Muguruza/Kudermetova, 2r Swiatek/Badosa -- could throw the entire draw into disarray. Meanwhile, Osaka returns and will immediately feel more pressure to win than she's *ever* felt in *any* tournament she's ever played. We'll see how that works out.


*WOMEN's SINGLES*
GOLD: #6 Iga Swiatek, POL
SILVER: #3 Aryna Sabalenka, BLR
BRONZE: #8 Barbora Krejcikova, CZE
4th Place: Ons Jabeur, TUN

...thinking Barty's road is super tough -- Sorribes 1st Rd., Pavlyuchenkova 3rd -- so I went with the seemingly better odds with Krejcikova winning the section. So Barty will probably take Gold. Hmmm, might Jabeur (or maybe Sorribes) be the Puig of these Games?

*WOMEN's DOUBLES*
GOLD: Krejcikova/Siniakova, CZE
SILVER: Mattek-Sands/Pegula, USA
BRONZE: V.Kudermetova/Vesnina, ROC
4th Place: Ostapenko/Sevastova, LAT

...Japan's #2-seeded Aoyama/Shibahara have had more regular season success than any duo, but won't have the home court advantage they might have with fans in the stands. Muguruza/Suarez-Navarro (open vs. Mertens/Van Uytvanck, could have Aoyama/Shibahara 2r) would be a lovely Cinderella story.

*MIXED DOUBLES*
...the draw will come later, and the teams (ala V.Williams/Ram in '16) could change based on the singles results and/or injuries/COVID. Some contenders:

Sakkari/Tsitsipas - the Greeks did well in Hopman Cup a few years ago
Vesnina/Karatsev - RG MX finalists
Schuurs/Koolhof - reached RG semis
Stosur - w/ someone (Peers?), as she won the AO MX final w/ Ebden (not in Tokyo) in Feb.
Watson/A.Murray - reached QF in London in '12; or maybe w/ Jamie?
Mattek-Sands - maybe w/ Rajeev Ram?
Swiatek - Hurkacz or Kubot
Osaka/Nishikori - seems natural that they'll *try*
Mladenovic - she's playing WD w/ Garcia, could go w/ Hubert or Mahut in MX

*MEN's SINGLES*
GOLD: #1 Novak Djokovic, SRB
SILVER: #3 Stefanos Tsitsipas, GRE
BRONZE: #7 Hubert Hurkacz, POL
4th Place: #2 Daniil Medvedev, ROC

...Djokovic, looking for Part IV of V in a possible Golden Slam season, doesn't have del Potro to contend with -- after back-to-back Olympic losses to the Argentine in '12 and '16 -- this time around. Andy Murray is playing for a third straight Gold, and opens with #9-seeded Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime.






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All for now.